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Terror Alerts [message #107777] Fri, 13 August 2004 16:45 Go to next message
SuperFlyingEngi is currently offline  SuperFlyingEngi
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http://photos1.blogger.com/img/227/958/640/approval_alert_graph2.jpg

Hm, seems as if these terror alerts aren't entirely about terrorism...

EDIT - This picture is giving me some trouble properly accessing it, the link might not work, I find that the best way to view it is to copy & paste the link into your browser address bar.


"To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public." -- Theodore Roosevelt (1918)

"The danger to political dissent is acute where the Government attempts to act under so vague a concept as the power to protect "domestic security." Given the difficulty of defining the domestic security interest, the danger of abuse in acting to protect that interest becomes apparent. --U.S. Supreme Court decision (407 U.S. 297 (1972)

The Liberal Media At Work
An objective look at media partisanship
Terror Alerts [message #107781] Fri, 13 August 2004 16:57 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Crimson is currently offline  Crimson
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Uhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.... I fail to see the relevance between terror alerts and his approval rating. I don't see any jumps around the warnings, nor do I see "suspicious" alerts surrounding important events.

I'm the bawss.
Terror Alerts [message #107782] Fri, 13 August 2004 17:00 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Nodbugger is currently offline  Nodbugger
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Colonel
So you are saying the more in danger people are the more inclined they are to vote for Bush?

http://www.n00bstories.com/image.fetch.php?id=1129285834
Terror Alerts [message #107807] Fri, 13 August 2004 19:06 Go to previous messageGo to next message
SuperFlyingEngi is currently offline  SuperFlyingEngi
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No, as it seems quite obvious from that chart, whenever Bush's numbers drop, there's a terror alert, a little hop in his ratings, they go down a bit again, terror alert, yadda yadda.

"To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public." -- Theodore Roosevelt (1918)

"The danger to political dissent is acute where the Government attempts to act under so vague a concept as the power to protect "domestic security." Given the difficulty of defining the domestic security interest, the danger of abuse in acting to protect that interest becomes apparent. --U.S. Supreme Court decision (407 U.S. 297 (1972)

The Liberal Media At Work
An objective look at media partisanship
Terror Alerts [message #107828] Fri, 13 August 2004 23:43 Go to previous messageGo to next message
NHJ BV is currently offline  NHJ BV
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Colonel
It's true that it's almost too easy for the Bush administration to issue a terror alert to get some media attention, after which he can hold a speech, which will get him more attention and if he doesn't screw that up too much it will get people to vote for him.

Also, it's pretty much impossible to check whether or not those alerts are actualy based on something. I do not want to jump to conclusions, I just want to say it's too easy for him to abuse.
Terror Alerts [message #107831] Fri, 13 August 2004 23:49 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Doitle is currently offline  Doitle
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You've sold me SFE... Here I thought all the terror alerts occured at once... But according to this new startling data... The Terror alerts happen... over time? It would seem so. I'm gonna do some fact checking first but this may just convert me to your side.

lol

Also heres my own little graphic for you :

http://www.n00bstories.com/image.fetch.php?id=1164759320

I count 15 Terror alerts and at least 26 Approval jumps. I don't see a corrollation... That's Half...

As if a man goes to Jewel, then he goes to Cub Foods. You make the assumption that he ONLY shops at Jewel because he went there 50% of the time?


http://www.n00bstories.com/image.fetch.php?id=1285726594
Terror Alerts [message #107869] Sat, 14 August 2004 06:59 Go to previous messageGo to next message
SuperFlyingEngi is currently offline  SuperFlyingEngi
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Doitle, I'm not saying that every time Bush's ratings go down, he calls a terror alert. His approval rising without him using a terror alert is a good sign, but you can see whenever he calls a terror alert, his ratings get a little boost. You can also see that as his popularity lowers, there are more and more alerts.

"To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public." -- Theodore Roosevelt (1918)

"The danger to political dissent is acute where the Government attempts to act under so vague a concept as the power to protect "domestic security." Given the difficulty of defining the domestic security interest, the danger of abuse in acting to protect that interest becomes apparent. --U.S. Supreme Court decision (407 U.S. 297 (1972)

The Liberal Media At Work
An objective look at media partisanship
Terror Alerts [message #107968] Sat, 14 August 2004 15:47 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Crimson is currently offline  Crimson
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And you're saying there are no other possible events that would give a "little boost"?

I'm the bawss.
Terror Alerts [message #107980] Sat, 14 August 2004 17:52 Go to previous messageGo to next message
SuperFlyingEngi is currently offline  SuperFlyingEngi
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Whenever there's a terror alert, his ratings get a small boost. Unless something happens at the same time he calls a terror alert pretty much always, I don't see how terror alerts and rating jumps are unrelated.

"To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public." -- Theodore Roosevelt (1918)

"The danger to political dissent is acute where the Government attempts to act under so vague a concept as the power to protect "domestic security." Given the difficulty of defining the domestic security interest, the danger of abuse in acting to protect that interest becomes apparent. --U.S. Supreme Court decision (407 U.S. 297 (1972)

The Liberal Media At Work
An objective look at media partisanship
Terror Alerts [message #108073] Sun, 15 August 2004 02:21 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Crimson is currently offline  Crimson
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Those triangles span several days... it's hard to pinpoint a true correlation. But I guess the real point is this... why is it a good thing for Bush when the country is in danger, real or fake? Why would Bush get a jump in the polls if a terrorist attack was imminent? Answer me that please.

I'm the bawss.
Terror Alerts [message #108087] Sun, 15 August 2004 05:22 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Fabian is currently offline  Fabian
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Colonel
People think that the Bush administration is on top of things and has intelligence about terrorist activity. People feel safer when they think the US is aware of and ready to defend against attacks.
Terror Alerts [message #108113] Sun, 15 August 2004 08:39 Go to previous messageGo to next message
msgtpain is currently offline  msgtpain
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Colonel
If I were bulimc and I puked every time I ate something, would you think I just ate something every time I puked?

Some things just aren't cause and effect related..
Terror Alerts [message #108174] Sun, 15 August 2004 15:14 Go to previous messageGo to next message
SuperFlyingEngi is currently offline  SuperFlyingEngi
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These, for the most part, are.

But that's not the point.

The point is is that there seems to be a terror alert whenever Bush's ratings start to fall, and as they get lower and lower, there are more and more terror alerts.


"To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public." -- Theodore Roosevelt (1918)

"The danger to political dissent is acute where the Government attempts to act under so vague a concept as the power to protect "domestic security." Given the difficulty of defining the domestic security interest, the danger of abuse in acting to protect that interest becomes apparent. --U.S. Supreme Court decision (407 U.S. 297 (1972)

The Liberal Media At Work
An objective look at media partisanship
Terror Alerts [message #108189] Sun, 15 August 2004 16:43 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Crimson is currently offline  Crimson
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SEAL

People think that the Bush administration is on top of things and has intelligence about terrorist activity. People feel safer when they think the US is aware of and ready to defend against attacks.


Do you remember what happened when we thought we were safe? Do you remember when 19 men hijacked 4 planes and took out two of the tallest towers in the world, part of the Pentagon, and were thwarted in one other unknown target?


I'm the bawss.
Terror Alerts [message #108202] Sun, 15 August 2004 17:42 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Fabian is currently offline  Fabian
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Colonel
And do you remember the overwhelming amount of security emplacements and extra measures taken by the US? People were united. Bush became a man of action, and his approval ratings soared.
Terror Alerts [message #108241] Sun, 15 August 2004 22:54 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Crimson is currently offline  Crimson
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Very good. Now if I give you this theory:

The Democrats questions the alleged "timing" of terror alerts and accuse the Bush Administration of using them for political gain. Now, my conjecture is... the Democrats feel threatened by this because they are weak on defense. They don't like Americans to feel they are in danger because they aren't as strong in handling such threats and responding to them... or preventing them altogether.

Given that theory, how would you argue against it?


I'm the bawss.
Terror Alerts [message #108276] Mon, 16 August 2004 04:24 Go to previous messageGo to next message
SuperFlyingEngi is currently offline  SuperFlyingEngi
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Well, first, I would ask how the Democrats are weak on defense...

"To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public." -- Theodore Roosevelt (1918)

"The danger to political dissent is acute where the Government attempts to act under so vague a concept as the power to protect "domestic security." Given the difficulty of defining the domestic security interest, the danger of abuse in acting to protect that interest becomes apparent. --U.S. Supreme Court decision (407 U.S. 297 (1972)

The Liberal Media At Work
An objective look at media partisanship
Terror Alerts [message #108294] Mon, 16 August 2004 09:10 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Crimson is currently offline  Crimson
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That is the point of my conjecture. If terror alerts = boost for Bush, is that because Dems are weak on defense? If no, explain why not.

I'm the bawss.
Terror Alerts [message #108299] Mon, 16 August 2004 09:47 Go to previous messageGo to next message
NHJ BV is currently offline  NHJ BV
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Colonel
There's a difference in people believing that the Dems are weak on defence and them actually being it (or not, for that matter). The first, unfortunately, matters in such a case.
Terror Alerts [message #108304] Mon, 16 August 2004 10:15 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Fabian is currently offline  Fabian
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Colonel
I really don't see any relevance.

-Terror alert is raised.

-America thinks that Goverment is on the ball, and that they are not just sitting on their thumbs.

-Approval ratings raise because more people gain faith in homeland security dept.

It's that simple.
Terror Alerts [message #108307] Mon, 16 August 2004 11:13 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Crimson is currently offline  Crimson
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So, hypothetically, Kerry wins in November... in March of next year, he raises the terror alert. Would you libs then still say it was for political gain, or that there is a reason for such an alert to occur?

I'm the bawss.
Terror Alerts [message #108308] Mon, 16 August 2004 11:25 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Fabian is currently offline  Fabian
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Colonel
Depends on the evidence presented to the public as to why the terror alert was raised. When the terror alert is raised several times with only vague mentions of generic threats, people begin to stop taking the terror alert system seriously. If Kerry treats the terror alert system the same way Bush has (in the eyes of the public), then he will get a similar reaction. I can only speak for myself, but that's at least how I think about it.

Oh, and you don't need to be hypothetical about Kerry winning the next election. It's okay...you can say "when". Razz Laughing
Terror Alerts [message #108420] Mon, 16 August 2004 23:36 Go to previous message
NHJ BV is currently offline  NHJ BV
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Crimson

So, hypothetically, Kerry wins in November... in March of next year, he raises the terror alert. Would you libs then still say it was for political gain, or that there is a reason for such an alert to occur?


Yes, with a reference to what SEAL said.
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